CariCOF Caribbean Climate Outlooks: October 2024

Written on 10/01/2024

The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for October to December 2024 are now available. These include:

The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarises the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period October to December 2024:

“A transition to La Niña may occur in the equatorial Pacific while near record-warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperatures will likely continue.

For the Caribbean Islands and Belize, such ocean conditions imply increased tropical cyclone and severe weather activity through December, resulting in high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts.

Unusual oceanic heat further implies episodes of oppressive humid heat could continue into early-November, particularly in the ABC Islands, the Guianas and the Windward Islands.

Finally, the Guianas will transition from the hot and dry season into cooler and (much) wetter conditions from late-November, except in the far southwest.”