The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for September to November 2025 are now available. These include:

• Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
• Heat Outlook
• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Drought Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period September to November 2025:

“The forecast ENSO neutral conditions, near-average sea surface temperatures in the Tropical North Atlantic, persistent warmth around and north of the Caribbean, and slackened winds imply:

(i) recurrent excessive humid heat, potentially culminating in heatwaves from Dominica southwards where the Caribbean Heat Season peaks in September and October;

(ii) rainfall intensity and shower frequency should peak, resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts;

(iii) increasing Atlantic Hurricane Season activity into September, progressively slowing down from October onwards;

(iv) the Guianas are in their long dry season through mid- to late-November, steadily increasing wildfire potential but decreasing flood potential there.”