The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for February 2026 to April 2026 are now available. These include:

• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Drought Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period February 2026 to April 2026:

This part of the Caribbean Dry Season includes its annual peak in March, but also the transition out of the Cool and into the Heat Season. Continued, unusual warmth in the Tropical North Atlantic Ocean implies:

(i) the occurrence severe weather activity as soon as April in southern Belize, the Guianas, the Greater Antilles and mountainous areas of the Lesser Antilles, implying high or even extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts after March;

(ii) short dry spells increase in frequency, particularly in the ABC Islands and Lesser Antilles;

(iii) comfortable temperatures in February making way to episodes of heat discomfort by March in inland portions of Belize, the Guianas and Trinidad, or April elsewhere;

(iv) rainfall totals unlikely to mitigate long-term drought impacts in the ABC Islands, St. Kitts & Nevis and the Windward Islands caused by large rainfall deficits during the 2025 Wet Season.