The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for November 2025 to January 2026 are now available. These include:

• Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
• Heat Outlook
• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Drought Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

The following excerpt from CariCOF’s Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter summarizes the climate conditions and related hazards for the upcoming 3-month period November 2025 to January 2026:

The Caribbean transitions into the Dry and Cool Seasons in December, while northern and eastern parts Guianas transition from the Hot, Dry Season into the secondary wet season in November. A shift to La Niña conditions in the Pacific – combined with continued unusual warmth in the Subtropical North Atlantic – increases uncertainty in the seasonal forecast. Nevertheless, the outlook suggests:

(i) steady decrease of tropical cyclone activity and of excessively hot and humid days in November;

(ii) high rainfall intensity and shower frequency in the ABC Islands, Belize, the Lesser Antilles through November or December, resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts;

(iii) increasing dry spell frequency in The Bahamas and Greater Antilles;

(iv) appearance of drought impacts by the end of January in locations with ongoing drought.