The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for March to May 2024 are now available. These include:

• Flash Flood Potential Outlook (Experimental)
• Temperature Outlook Maps
• Precipitation Outlook Maps
• Drought Outlook 
• Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook
• Dry Spells Outlook and
• The Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter

Summary for the upcoming 3-month period, March to May 2024: “A waning El Niño event in the Pacific and near-record warm Tropical North Atlantic temperatures are forecast. Therefore, the region is set to transition into a much warmer than usual Heat Season with recurrent heatwaves as early as April. March may still be characterised by high evaporation rates and an annual peak in the frequency of short dry spells, as well as further buildup of any ongoing drought and/or with increasing wildfire potential in the far northwest and in the southeast. By contrast, from April to May, rainfall intensity and shower frequency are likely to sharply rise, resulting in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts in most places, except the ABC Islands.”